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Page A190From§Each · the News book2 October 2026

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THE LEDGER

Senate GOP sets aside $71 million to save North Carolina, spends $30 million, saves Kansas instead.

The Senate Leadership Fund set aside $71 million to elevate Michael Whatley, and spending authority like that signals a campaign built to win. It spent $30 million of it before pulling back on Friday, which is a pivot, not a retreat — correction, it's a retreat. On September 16th, former Kansas Governor Bill Graves, a Republican, crossed over to endorse Hamilton, calling six years of Senator Marshall's record a case of turning his back on Kansas. One defection is noise. The next day, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball moved three Senate races toward Democrats, citing a "persistently poor national environment," Iowa among them, sliding from "Leans Republican" clear to "Toss-up." The day after that, Cook Political Report downgraded Kansas from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican" — a seat Republicans have not lost in 94 years treated, suddenly, as contestable. By September 26th, ICE raids in Kansas were being filed under the same headline as rising fuel prices, which is to say under the same headline as Marshall's problem.

Then came today. The Senate Leadership Fund confirmed it is pulling up to $10 million out of North Carolina — the state Donald Trump carried three times — and redirecting it to Kansas, a state that one month ago was not on the spending map at all. Call that a strategic reallocation. Call it money following the polling instead of the plan. Former Governor Mike Hayden, the second Republican governor in sixteen days, published an endorsement of Hamilton in the Wichita Eagle on Friday, which makes this a pattern inside Marshall's own party, not an outlier. Ten million dollars used to be worth less explaining. Today it buys a state party watching its own former governors walk the other way, and a Democrat who does not want the national party anywhere near the cameras. That's — that's not strength. That's two different kinds of people running from the same ticket.

The receipts (12)

DOJ postpones abortion pill ban until after midterms; the justice who enabled it calls criticism 'quite damaging.'

Jackson, the 2022 ruling he wrote overturning Roe v. Wade. "It's part of the job that you're going to displease people," he said, the way a man says it about a parking ticket.

The friendships are not new collateral. In August, Clarence Thomas told Fox News he once asked Alito point-blank why the two of them weren't close back at Yale Law School. Alito's answer was blunt: something about combat boots and bib overalls. Distance, it turns out, predates the controversial decisions; Alito has simply had more of them to measure it by since.

He also told CBS that criticism of the Court from political leaders is "quite damaging" to the institution, and he applied the complaint evenly: both Biden and Trump, he said, have been "very harsh." A justice offended in both directions sounds, on the page, like a model of evenhandedness. It is also a man measuring the temperature of the room he's sitting in rather than the fire he lit on his way out of it — because weeks before this interview aired, the 9th Circuit was still refusing to let a sitting federal judge in Idaho defy that fire, upholding Dobbs against an attempt to slow it down.

Nobody is slow-walking the ruling at the bench. Somebody is slow-walking it at the desk next to it. The Washington Sun reported Friday that White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles has told the Justice Department to hold off pushing a federal ban on abortion pills — the method behind nearly two-thirds of all U.S. abortions — until after the midterms. Attorney General Todd Blanche already called the current shipping rules "wrong" at his July confirmation hearing. An anti-abortion advocate put the quiet part plainly to the Sun: once the votes are counted, "the gloves will be off." Sixty-eight percent of the country opposes banning the pill right now, while it still counts as speculation rather than policy.

The Guardian noted last week that abortion has faded from the national conversation since Dobbs, and that Republicans prefer it that way. Alito calls the noise damaging to the institution. His own administration isn't making noise at all. It is simply waiting for the quiet to last through November.

The receipts (8)

James appointed to fix a system that failed her, called unfair to the accused the same day.

My neighbor hauls feed for a living, and twice a year the state waves his truck onto a scale on Route 13. Last March the first scale, the state-run one by the county line, printed him a ticket: seventy-one thousand four hundred pounds, legal, go on through. A half mile down the road, same truck, same load, same morning, a second officer waved him onto a portable scale by the Agway lot. Different number came back: seventy-four thousand nine hundred, over by close to a ton. Nobody added a bag of feed in that half mile. I asked him how a truck gains thirty-five hundred pounds in five minutes and he said the first scale and the second scale just read different. Not a lie, he said. Just a different scale.

I bring it up because I wrote two things down this week about the same case, on the same day, and when I set them side by side they don't read like the same scale either.

The case is the one at Cornell. A young woman reported to campus police in 2024 that seven men at a fraternity house had raped her; the county district attorney looked at what he had and declined to bring charges. That sat for close to two years until a lawsuit this past September alleged she'd been drugged with ketamine, and screenshots of text messages surfaced, and somewhere in the middle of that an aide connected to the county prosecutor's office sent a message telling someone not to say anything. The state took the case away from that office over the text. Governor Hochul put the state attorney general, Letitia James, in as special prosecutor instead.

Friday — same day as the text I'm telling you about now — the Governor stood in her Midtown office and said, I wrote this down, "how was this woman denied justice." She said the woman had been failed by the people obligated to protect her, the campus police, the county prosecutor, all of them. She said voluntary intoxication is not a license for sexual assault or gang rape, and she's asking the legislature to close the loophole that lets a defense lawyer argue a woman who'd been drinking consented. The woman's attorney, a man named Giuffra, said she "was incapable of consent" and called the original investigation a cover-up. First scale reading: the system failed her.

Second reading came off the same Friday. The President of the United States stood on the South Lawn and said the seven young men accused in this case "won't get a fair shake" now that Letitia James is running the investigation. He called her corrupt. Same case. Same seven men. Same woman. Same Friday — I checked twice, because I didn't believe it myself — just hours between one scale and the other.

I stood in a bank line Tuesday, and the first teller told me I had forty-one dollars in checking. I went back through the line twenty minutes later because I'd forgotten to deposit a check, and the second teller read me a different number off the same account — nothing deposited, nothing moved — and when I asked her about it, she said the system updates at different times for different windows. All right. For forty-one dollars, I can live with two different windows.

Excuse me — before you go — can I ask you something, because I never got this straight and maybe you can help me. On Friday the Governor of New York said, in public, on the record, that this woman was failed, denied justice, by the system as it stood that morning. That same Friday, the President said the system's replacement would fail the seven men accused. Both statements are sitting in my notes, same date, same case, a few hours apart. Which window was open when the first one got read, and which one was open for the second?

The receipts (17)

Trump says he's worried about North Carolina, spends the week campaigning in Alabama instead.

The Senate Leadership Fund set aside $71 million to elevate Michael Whatley in North Carolina, the kind of reservation a party books when it expects to win the seat. It spent $30 million of that before Friday, when it began — trimming is the word the committee would prefer, but the number is zero, so call it what it is: canceling.

On September 16th, former Kansas Governor Bill Graves, a Republican, endorsed Hamilton, the Democrat challenging Senator Roger Marshall, saying six years of Marshall's record amounted to turning his back on the state. The next day, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball moved three Senate races toward Democrats, Kansas and Iowa among them, citing a persistently poor national environment for the GOP; Iowa slid from Leans Republican to Toss-up. Cook Political Report moved Kansas the same direction a day after that.

Friday answered the question those four days had been asking. The New York Times, the Guardian and the Daily Caller each confirmed the same reporting: the Senate Leadership Fund is out of North Carolina and into Kansas, up to $10 million of it. Politico called Kansas a state where "the deep-red state is in play." A second former Republican governor, Hayden, endorsed Hamilton the same week Graves did — two Republican governors now on record for the Democrat in a state Republicans built their whole plan around not needing to defend.

And then the president, on the South Lawn, on his way to a rally: "I think he's a great man, and I am worried about him." Call that candor, if you like — a man leveling with reporters on his way out the door. Except the Senate Leadership Fund made the same point first, the same day, with ten million dollars it moved to Kansas instead of spending on him. He said all of it on his way to Alabama, a state his own party already has locked up, to rally a candidate running for governor. Which leaves exactly one place the president's closing week was not going: North Carolina.

The receipts (13)

Justice Department finds second UC law school guilty of same crime it hasn't proven at the first

The Department of Justice announced Thursday that UCLA's law school broke the law by considering race in admissions. The university says it denies the allegations and is committed to following every applicable law. That's the standard two-sentence rebuttal, and it's fine, because the Department is plainly just doing its job here, methodically, one UC law school at a time.

Except UCLA is the second one. Three weeks ago, on September 9th, the Department announced the same kind of finding against Berkeley's law school: illegal consideration of race, a violation of federal civil rights law. Same conclusion. Same agency.

Is that a coincidence? No. That is not nothing. It is also not evidence that the first finding was correct — it's evidence the Department has decided where to look.

The Berkeley file came with furniture the UCLA file, as reported Thursday, does not yet have. Allegedly. Nobody has proven that in front of a judge. It's an accusation against an office, dated September 9th, sitting exactly where the UCLA accusation is sitting now: announced, denied, unresolved.

So what we actually have is this: two law schools, two announcements, nineteen days apart, both ending in the same finding — illegal use of race — made by the same investigators under an administration that has turned college admissions scrutiny into a running program. Call that consistent. Don't call it identical; the Berkeley case carries essays and an alleged workaround from the dean, and the UCLA case, so far, carries the conclusion and not much else.

Does that make UCLA innocent? No. Does it make Berkeley guilty? Also no. The Berkeley finding is still just a finding — the Department's own word for its own accusation — and three weeks later no court has tested it.

Here's the part that's actually new: the Department found target number two before anyone outside the Department confirmed target number one. That's not a pattern of discrimination they've established. That's a pattern of them finding what they went looking for, on schedule, every few weeks, and calling it done before anyone checks their work.

The receipts (3)

Georgia election board demands DOJ probe its machines, requests no probe of ballot-secrecy hole Princeton just proved real

I want to tell you about my car and the Chamblee toll plaza, and I promise it gets to Georgia's election board eventually. Bear with me.

The car doesn't like inclines. Never has. So I come up on 285 near the plaza some mornings with maybe sixty dollars of hope and a loose fan belt, and the EZ-Pass reader does its little chirp, and somewhere a server writes down the time, the lane, the plate. That's it. That's all it writes. One fact. By itself it tells you nothing — a car went through a toll at 7:14 in the morning. Could be anybody's car.

Except it isn't anybody's car. It's registered to me, at my address, which is public record if you know where the county clerk keeps the rolls. And if somebody also happens to have, say, a gym check-in four exits up at 7:40 — also a timestamp, also a public-adjacent record sitting in some other file — well, now you've got two facts that are each nothing on their own and together are a Tuesday in my life. Neither record was built to identify me. Put side by side, they manage fine.

I bring this up because a researcher at Princeton just showed the state of Georgia something along those lines, except it wasn't tollbooths, it was ballots. I wrote it down — hang on — here: public election records, the kind anybody can request, run through an AI model, can apparently be combined to connect a specific person to the specific vote that person cast. Secret ballot, right there on the page, not so secret anymore. The Guardian had Georgia's own State Election Board calling an emergency meeting over it this week. So I don't think I'm the only one who read that twice.

Now here's the part I keep coming back to, from a different angle each time, and I apologize for that. On Wednesday, the executive director of that same board, a man named James Mills, sent a letter. Not to Georgia's own people — to the U.S. Department of Justice. To Attorney General Todd Blanche, to Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon, and to the Homeland Security Secretary, a fella named Markwayne Mullin. One month before the election — did I get that right? Let me check... yes. One month before. Asking them to come look at the voting machines.

Specifically — I wrote this part down too — asking for "additional security measures" and a six-month deadline to eliminate QR codes on the ballots, because right now that's how Georgia's machines read and tally a vote. That's the ask. That's the whole ask. Nothing in it, far as I can find, about who can later find out which box you checked.

So somewhere in Atlanta there's a letter asking the federal government to investigate how the machines count the vote, mailed the same week a Princeton researcher published, and this board's own emergency meeting addressed, a demonstrated way to connect a person to their ballot after the fact. Does the letter mention that part? I keep looking — it's around here somewhere, same pile as the dog's leash — and near as I can tell, no. The letter's about counting. Not about secrecy. Those are different problems, aren't they?

Maybe that's nothing. Maybe you ask the Justice Department to look into the thing you asked them to look into, and somebody else entirely handles the other thing — the one where your name ends up attached to your vote instead of just your precinct's total.

Say — before you let me go — who exactly did the board ask to look into that one?

The receipts (4)

Mission accomplished 2003, major combat ended 2018, last troops out 2026: Trump hails victory for both countries

Today we are making a twenty-three-year war, and I will take it in order, because the order is the whole dish. Baghdad has declared the first of October a day of celebration: the last American troops are gone, twenty-three years after the invasion of March 2003. The American president, Donald Trump, hailed a "victory" for both countries.

You will need one invasion; one speech, known at home ever since as the Mission Accomplished speech; one veto; one promise; one declared end to major combat operations; and two governments at the finish, which is more than most dishes require.

THE POET: A victory verse. I have been drafting one since the spring, and I'll not be hurried by people who finish things in an afternoon.

THE PUNK: You've been drafting since before the boiler went. That's not a verse, mate, that's an occupation.

Begin four years in. On the first of May 2007, the fourth anniversary of that speech, President George W. Bush vetoed the war funding measure, citing the provisions setting a deadline for the withdrawal of troops. A veto, which is the one signature that sends a bill back to the people who wrote it, does not separate the parts: the same measure improved the standards for resting, training and equipping combat troops before deployment, and set binding benchmarks for the Iraqi government. All of it went on the floor together, in front of everyone. A deadline written into a funding bill will not keep; it goes first.

THE HIPPIE: An occupation is exactly what this house is, and it was always going to end like this, me on the rota three weeks running and nobody saying a word.

THE FIXER: Three weeks on the rota is leverage, not a grievance. There's a withdrawal on. Surplus, flags, anything with a stencil on it, I can move it by Thursday.

Fold in the promise. During the pull out, President Obama promised there would be no more "boots on the ground" in Iraq again, and in December 2015 his administration pledged additional Special Operations troops. You will be looking for the vote that permits that. Several members of Iraq's ruling alliance said only the Iraqi Parliament could authorize it, and political associates of Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi reported such an expansion would be unacceptable.

THE PUNK: You moved the immersion heater by Thursday. We wash out of a kettle. Whose kitty did that land in?

Now take it by both ends and turn it over. On the 30th of April 2018 the US-led coalition declared an end to major combat operations against ISIL in Iraq and closed the Coalition Forces Land Component Command headquarters, transitioning, it said, "from supporting and enabling combat operations to the training and development of self-sufficient Iraqi security-related capabilities". The combat operations end in the sentence. The troops left this year.

Le Monde has it as "Iraq celebrates departure of international coalition and last US troops". At home it is a "victory" for both countries.

THE HIPPIE: Nobody answered about the damp either, and that is coming down through the ceiling whatever anyone declares.

Serves two governments, and both of them are calling it a victory. The withdrawal deadline, the resting and training standards for combat troops and the Iraqi government's binding benchmarks were all in the one measure, and they went together in 2007.

THE POET: Then the verse ends on a ceiling. Two governments standing in the dry, and the bill coming down on whoever is underneath it.

The receipts (4)

Trump answers worst poll of his presidency by headlining a state no one is polling.

Call it what the campaign would prefer you call it: a disciplined, state-by-state midterm operation, running exactly on schedule. The schedule says Alabama. On Friday the president rallied in Mobile alongside Senator Tommy Tuberville, who is running for governor, and state Representative Rhett Marques, down the ballot — a ticket in a state Republicans are not defending, because there is nothing there to defend. That is strategy. That is — say that again — that is the one stop on the map where showing up changes nothing at all.

The polling is what sent him there, supposedly to steady the ship. On September 21st, Reuters/Ipsos put his approval at 32 percent, the lowest of his second term and, by Reuters's own measure, the lowest of his political life. A week later the Wall Street Journal's survey had him at 37 percent, the lowest any president has polled that close to a midterm in the outlet's own history of asking. CBS News, reporting the same week, tied the slide to inflation and gas prices from the war with Iran. The president's response was that the polls are fake. A White House that confident does not usually need Mobile, Alabama. A White House that confident does not usually need Mobile, Alabama at all — which is the tell, not the applause line.

Because the money had already told the truth before the president did. The Senate Leadership Fund, the party's main super PAC, had set aside $71 million to elevate Michael Whatley in North Carolina, the seat Republicans actually need. It spent $30 million, then began pulling the rest back out — up to $10 million of it — and sent that money to Kansas instead, a seat suddenly worth defending that wasn't supposed to be in play. That is not trimming. That is a party moving its fire truck because the first house is already lost and the second one just caught.

So here is the operation, laid out in full: the polling is the worst on record, the party's own PAC is triaging a state it didn't expect to need defending, and the president's week went to neither state. It went to Alabama, which Republicans will carry regardless, and which needed exactly none of this. The networks called the Alabama trip a stop on a campaign blitz. Fine — it is a stop. It is a stop nowhere near either fire, in a week when the party's own checkbook told you precisely where those fires are.

The receipts (10)

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