From§Each

Page F45From§Each · the Money book3 September to 4 September 2026

Money

← F44Sealed · 3 September to 4 September 2026F46 →

President's portfolio cashes in on the oil surge from the war pushing gas prices to a fourth-day high.

Oil closed higher for the fourth straight day this week, the wire report said, as renewed U.S. and Iran strikes strained global supply and diesel edged toward a record. Gas prices followed, and CBS News described the pump numbers as feeding inflation fears — the ordinary consequence of a war that has, this week, resumed after a ceasefire that did not hold. In Kuwait and the UAE, Iran claimed new strikes on U.S.-linked bases while the Pentagon looked into reports of a strike on a wedding party. That is the ledger on one side: barrels up, diesel up, the tank up, and costs the wire report never puts a dollar figure on.

On the other side of the ledger sits a filing. The Office of Government Ethics released the president's mandated second-quarter disclosure in late August, covering April through June — the same three months in which the Iran war continued, paused for a ceasefire, and restarted. The filing lists more than 1,000 stock transactions. Thousands of dollars of them sit in energy companies, the same sector now posting the record profits behind the gas prices in tonight's segment.

Reconciling this is arithmetic. The filing covers June. The four-day oil run covered here is September. Two different months, one portfolio, one war, one sector rising in both windows. A count is not a motive: this desk cannot answer why the trades were made, only when — in the same quarter as a war that has since produced the run of gains those holdings were sitting in.

What the filing does establish is exposure. The man whose administration is prosecuting the war holds stock in the industry the war enriches. The commuter paying more per gallon this week and the portfolio posting gains off the same barrel are reading the same oil price off two different columns of the same public record. One column is the pump. The other is the disclosure form. Neither is hidden, hon — both are filed on schedule, sitting in a government drawer, waiting for someone to set them side by side.

That is the job here: not to guess intent, but to place the June filing next to the September price run and note that both columns are denominated in the same commodity, moving the same direction, in the same war.

The receipts (4)

Treasury calls new rule race-neutral; The Hill reads the same filing and finds a target: minority students

I want to say something nice about a federal proposal, which is not a sentence I get to write often. The Treasury Department and the IRS put out a proposed regulation this week on school tax exemptions, and whoever drafted the phrase clear standard was reaching for something real. A rule that does not bend depending on who is asking, I respect that on paper. I liked the sentence enough to write it down: a clear standard, and the institutions that continue to use discriminatory practices will no longer receive the benefits of federal tax-exempt status. I have it right here, somewhere in this coat. Hold on.

Found it. Now the second sentence, from a different page, about the same proposal, filed the same day. This one describes what the rule actually does: end tax-exempt status for private schools that provide preferential treatment to minority students. I read that one twice, because the first sentence and the second sentence are describing the identical Treasury filing, and they are not the same sentence. One is a standard that does not ask what race a student is. The other is a standard about schools that help a specific kind of student. I wrote both of them down, and neither page has a note attached telling me which one is wrong.

I went out to the car after I read it, mostly because I needed the air, and I ended up thinking about the toll plaza on the turnpike, the one with the two lanes side by side. Above one lane there used to be a sign that said E-ZPass only. Above the other, a sign that said cash only. Two signs, two lanes, and the car behind you knows exactly which one to get into, because the signs tell you different things and you believe both of them, because they are hanging over asphalt paid for by the same toll authority. The signs are not neutral just because they are both signs. They are instructions, and the instructions are different depending on which one you are standing under.

I keep going back to that filing the way you go back to check a door you already locked. A federal proposal is one document. It cannot be a race-neutral standard, applied evenly to any school that so much as mentions race, and also, on the same Thursday, a rule aimed at ending help for minority students specifically. A rule is a lane. You cannot hang two signs over it and call the argument settled because one of the signs sounds better read aloud at a podium.

I called my insurance guy about something unrelated, an oil change reminder that turned into a twenty minute conversation, the way those calls do, and I told him about the two sentences. He did not have an answer. Why would he. He sells car insurance.

So here is what is sitting in my glovebox along with the registration I can never find: a proposal from the Treasury Department and the IRS, and a question about which of its two descriptions the schools losing their exemption are supposed to believe when the letter arrives. Does the letter say clear standard, the way Treasury's own quote reads? Or does it say what The Hill's headline says the same filing does, that this proposal ends the tax break for schools that help minority students?

Excuse me, before you go. One more thing on the page I almost missed. If the standard really does not see race, it should not be possible to write, accurately, in one sentence, which students lose help when it is enforced. Somebody already wrote that sentence. It ran Thursday, about the same filing, same department, same day. So which page does a school holding that letter get to keep, the clear standard, or the minority students?

The receipts (2)

Tesla deletes the wheel to cure fear of losing control, after recalling two million cars for lacking it.

I called Tesla's customer line yesterday, not to complain, just to ask a question, and I want to say up front, the young man was patient with me, because I am an old man who does not understand new cars, and this new car of theirs does not have a steering wheel in it, and I could not get my head around that part.

I told him, look, I've had my Buick twenty-two years, the fan belt shrieks the minute it rains, but there is a wheel in front of me, and when I want to go left I turn it, and that has never once struck me as the flaw in the design. He said, that's exactly the fear we built this car to solve, sir. People worry about losing control. So we took the wheel out. I didn't argue with him. He works there. I don't. Who am I to tell the company what its own customers are afraid of.

But I got to thinking about it that night out in the garage, next to the toolbox, because that's where I do my thinking, and I remembered something from a few years back, and I want to be fair, so bear with me while I get it straight. In March of 2018 one of their cars, a Model X, was in a fatal crash in California, and the company confirmed the car was in Autopilot mode at the time. The recorder showed the driver's hands were not on the wheel when it happened. I'm not saying that's the same car. I'm saying it's the same wheel.

Then in December of 2023 — and I know I have this one right, it was in the paper — Tesla recalled two million cars in this country. Two million. The story said that covers almost every Tesla sold here since Autopilot started in 2015. The reason given was insufficient safety controls in the Autopilot system. Not too much control. Not the wrong kind. Insufficient.

So now I've got two things sitting on my workbench that I can't get to lie flat next to each other, which is the whole reason I called the company, to have somebody smarter than me walk me through it. A car that the maker itself recalled, two million times over, for not having enough control built in — and now that same maker is selling a car with no control in it at all, nothing to hold, no wheel, and telling people the wheel was the thing making them nervous.

I asked the young man, does the new car run on the same driving system, more or less, the one from the recall. He said he'd have to check and could he put me on hold. I held. My dog fell asleep on the porch waiting with me, that's how long I held.

He came back and said the new one, the Cybercab, isn't widely available yet, so he couldn't speak to specifics on the software, but the fear part, the losing-control part, that they had definitely solved.

Oh — before you go, one more thing, and I promise it's quick. The recall, the one for two million cars, insufficient safety controls — that got fixed with a software update, is that right, the car still had a wheel to fall back on while they fixed it. This new one doesn't have that. So if the software has a bad day again, I just want to know, in a car with nothing to grab, who exactly is supposed to be the one losing control.

The receipts (4)

Trump administration strips school funding over race, language, and gender within the same two weeks

You don't need a law when you own the paperwork. They pulled the same string three times in two weeks — race, language, gender — and called each one a compliance issue, not a fight worth having in public. That's the tell: when they can close a school or pull its funding without ever putting it in front of a judge, they will, and they'll do it again next month with a fourth category.

The receipts (5)

Adviser grades economy a B on a report card showing $4 gas, mortgage rates highest in a year.

Stephen Moore went on television this week and gave the U.S. economy a B. Not a B-minus, not an incomplete pending further data. A B, the grade you give a kid who did the reading most nights and showed effort on the group project. Somewhere a teacher is grading on a curve nobody asked for.

Start with the transcript, because the receipts arrived the same week as the grade, not after it. Gas is running above $4 a gallon. That figure did not drift up on its own; the American Automobile Association clocked it there in late August, ninety cents more per gallon than a year earlier, and noted gas usually eases in summer and did not this time, because oil prices stayed elevated through the month. A B grade sat down at a table already set with that number.

The 30-year mortgage rate did the same thing to the other side of the ledger. Freddie Mac reported it Thursday at 6.71 percent, up from 6.66 percent the week before, the highest mark in more than a year. That is not a rounding error for a family shopping for a house; it is the difference between a monthly payment they could plan around and one they can't. The report card doesn't average that out against the grader's confidence. It just sits there, dated, filed, public.

There was an attempt to address at least one of these numbers before voters go to the polls. Late in August, the plan on the table was to pause tariffs on imported ground beef, sold as a way to knock the price down by a quarter before the midterms. The economic analysis attached to that same plan said the 25 percent figure was unrealistic and would likely hurt the domestic producers it claimed to help. So the fix for one grocery-aisle number arrived with its own asterisk, filed the same week as the B.

None of this requires assigning a motive to the man holding the marker. A B is an assessment, not a crime; grading scales vary by classroom, and nobody here is grading the grader. What can be reconciled is simpler: the gallon costs what AAA says it costs, the mortgage costs what Freddie Mac says it costs, and the beef relief comes with a note from the people who ran the math. Compare the report card to the transcript, hon, and see which one the family in the driveway is actually paying.

The receipts (4)

Trump threatens trade with dozens of countries to force a rate cut the jobs report says isn't needed.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday that the country added 162,000 jobs in August, more than three times what economists had penciled in, with the gains concentrated in education and in leisure and hospitality. The unemployment rate held at 4.1 percent. That is the kind of number a White House normally frames and hangs on the wall. This one used it to demand an interest rate cut.

Within hours of the report, the President was threatening to cut off trade with every country running a surplus against the United States unless the Federal Reserve lowered rates anyway. The demand didn't wait for a bad number to justify it. It rode in on a good one. The entire case for holding rates steady has been that the labor market doesn't need the push, and Friday's report made that case in the government's own data — beat forecasts, steady jobless rate, no sign of strain. The answer to that data was a threat against dozens of countries' trade.

It isn't a new fight, just a bigger one. On August 25th the trade war with Canada was already deepening, tariffs stacking on tariffs. Two days later, Ontario Premier Doug Ford answered by putting the province's electricity exports "on the table" — the power that keeps the lights on for 1.5 million Americans, now a chip in a dispute over a rate cut the jobs report says nobody asked for. By the 30th the President was calling Canada's leadership the worst of any he'd dealt with, in a trade war with the country next door that supplies part of the grid.

Line it up in order: a report that says the pressure campaign is unnecessary, a threat against dozens of trading partners to run it anyway, and a neighbor already offering to turn off the power over the argument. None of that required a weak jobs number. It happened on the strong one, the same week, from the same man who asked for it. The number came in fine. The demand came in anyway. That's the whole story, and it's dated, sourced, and still running.

The receipts (7)

Tyson blames a 75-year cattle low for a zero-notice layoff of 2,500 workers.

THE NOTICE PERIOD, the modest civic promise that a company large enough to close a plant that feeds a county owes the people who work there a warning first, died last month in Joslin, Illinois. It is survived by 2,500 former Tyson Foods employees, laid off without one day's notice.

The date depends on which end of the phone you were standing at. Tyson, the largest meatpacking and processing company in the country, announced on August 13 that it was closing its beef plant. On August 14, Ouano Tante and hundreds of her co-workers on the afternoon shift showed up for work anyway, because there had been no memo telling them otherwise. Word on the line was that someone on the morning shift had gotten hurt. That turned out to be a rumor filling the space where an announcement should have been.

The reason Tyson gave took considerably longer to build than the layoff took to execute. The U.S. cattle herd sits at its lowest point in 75 years — drought across the American West that climate change made worse, diesel and fertilizer prices climbing as the country went to war with Iran, years of corporate consolidation that had already squeezed the ranchers Tyson buys from. None of that happened between the 13th and the 14th. Calling the shortage real is accurate; calling the timing sudden is malarkey, and a company that tracks drought and diesel prices for a living had the numbers to give notice before it closed the plant, same as it had the numbers to close it.

Some of the 2,500 had worked the floor at Joslin for more than fifteen years — long enough that a warning before the doors closed should have been the least complicated part of the deal. Instead it is the part that went missing, which is the kind of shit a company this size gets away with when the workforce on that floor is mostly immigrant. Caitlyn Clark directs Essential Workers for Democracy and is pushing for democratic reform inside the United Food and Commercial Workers union, which represents more than a million people doing work like this.

The notice period is preceded in death by the ranchers' profit margins, which corporate consolidation finished off years before anyone in Joslin heard the word "shortage."

In lieu of flowers, Tyson is asked to fund the severance the notice would have covered, and the rest of us are asked to back the workers organizing inside UFCW so the next plant that closes overnight has to explain itself first.

The receipts (3)

THE RECORD

Vance credits Iran war with keeping diesel from an all-time high it just hit.

In late August the war in Iran crossed six months old, and the monthly average for gas had already ticked up from July, the Washington Examiner noted, a housekeeping detail in a summer when prices are supposed to be coming down. By the last week of the month, diesel was running near $5.60 a gallon, and NPR found school districts opening the year against that number — buses fueled at a price nobody had in the spring budget. A district in the Philadelphia suburbs told CBS it was absorbing tens of thousands of dollars in fuel costs it had not planned for, money that has to be found somewhere in a budget that does not expand to meet it. The same week, gas closed out August above $4 a gallon every single day for the first time on record, according to the AAA figures Common Dreams cited.

Also filed that week: financial disclosures with the Office of Government Ethics showed the president made more than 1,000 stock transactions in June, including positions in energy companies posting record profits off the same war pushing the diesel number up. The disclosure covers a quarter in which the war continued, paused for a ceasefire, and restarted — the trading log and the war log keeping the same schedule.

Then on Friday the average hit $5.85 a gallon, AAA reported, clearing the $5.81 record set in May 2022 after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Daily Caller, filing from the right, ran the plainest version of the number available to anyone: diesel is now higher than it was under the previous administration. Vice President Vance had an answer ready before the ink dried anyway, telling reporters prices could have been "much higher were it not for our efforts" — the efforts being the war, offered up as the reason its own bill isn't worse.

Reconciling the disclosure against the pump: the war has produced one all-time high in diesel, one first-of-its-kind monthly streak above $4, one round of record profits at the energy companies the president holds stock in, and one vice president crediting that same war with a discount that appears nowhere in the AAA data, the OGE filing, or anyone's receipt. The discount is not on this ledger, hon. The school district's bill is. The $5.85 is. Whatever got kept from being "much higher" was never itemized, and a number that is never itemized is not a number — it's a talking point standing in for one, and talking points don't fill a diesel tank.

The receipts (13)

← F44Sealed · 3 September to 4 September 2026F46 →

Every page of the Money book → · All the books