“Oil soars above $107 after Trump rejects Iran peace deal, expects fresh strikes after midterms”, 28 September 2026 (Photo via New York Post — the original report)
As it ran on the front
On September 1st, at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Kyrgyzstan, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran would return to the ceasefire reached with Washington in June if the United States returned first to its own commitments under that memorandum. He said it after accusing the United States of having broken the ceasefire already. Iranian-American journalist Masih Alinejad was asked for her reaction; the network reported only that she shared it, not what it was.
In between, on September 14th, the Pentagon's own inspector general put a number on what the war had already cost in property alone: about $184 million in damage to U.S. diplomatic facilities across four Gulf countries — Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. That is the ledger for buildings. The ledger for people, as of this weekend, is closer to 900 American casualties, a count that has kept climbing for seven months while the timeline at the podium has not moved.…
…(cont) On August 27th, financial disclosures filed with the Office of Government Ethics showed the president had made more than a thousand stock transactions in June, including positions in energy companies posting record profits off the war he is prosecuting. The filing covers the same quarter the ceasefire was reached, paused, and broken again. The receipts show the trades. They show the war. They do not show why a president holding energy positions would be the one setting the timetable for when the bombing resumes — that is a question the receipts leave open, not an answer they supply.
Today the rhetoric resumed on schedule, if not yet the ordnance. Trump rejected it over the weekend. Eight Marines were wounded in a fresh Iranian strike. Oil broke $107 a barrel on the news, and on his own statement that he expects to resume American strikes after the midterms — not before, after, like a renewal notice timed to a billing cycle. Iran's government said, again, that the choice between war and diplomacy sits with him alone. He told Axios he expects talks to resume anyway, despite neither side signaling it will change its demands. Nine hundred casualties in, that is still the entire plan.
🍺
“He's not planning to end this war, he's planning to time it. Wait for the vote, then wait on the ledger — his own disclosure shows over a thousand stock trades in June, plenty of it in the same energy companies riding this war's prices up, and the next round of strikes gets penciled in for right after Election Day like a dentist appointment. Nine hundred Americans hurt, and the guy holding the calendar's got money riding on the price of oil staying high.”
“You don't hand Tehran a ceasefire on their terms, that's weakness, and frankly the market pricing in $107 oil shows adversaries taking us seriously again, that's strength, not chaos. Waiting till after the midterms to resume operations is just prudent, you don't disrupt troop posture in the middle of an election cycle — okay, when I put it that way it does sound like the war's scheduled around a vote. Did I say that? That's not — forget I said that.”
Oil soared above $107 a barrel on Monday on news President Trump rejected an Iranian peace proposal and expects to resume US strikes after the November midterms – threatening to keep inflation higher for longer.
This page is a back-issue: the story as it ran, receipts as they were. The current edition is at the front. The byline is a pen name for a column drafted by a machine and checked by the editor: how this is made.