“Surging Inflation Complicates Trump’s Final Push to Sell Voters on Strong Economy”, 14 October 2026 (Photo via The New York Times — the original report)
As it ran on the front
On the 26th of August, the head of strategic futures at OpenAI, who previously worked in this President's White House, described Social Security in public as "a kind of accounting fraud" that will have to be dismantled. Keep the phrase. We are going to need it for the arithmetic.
The next day, the 27th, Democrats on the Joint Economic Committee put out the household ledger: the average family has paid $3,800 more for housing, groceries, utilities and other essentials during the second term, groceries more than 4 percent higher in July than in January 2025, an extra $310 at the register last year. Four days after that, on the 31st, AAA's number came in at $4.08 a gallon, ninety cents above a year earlier, the Iran war holding the summer price up where summer prices normally fall. On the 7th of October the President told reporters he had wanted Social Security "fully invested in the stock market" in the first month of his first year.…
…(cont) Which brings us to Wednesday, and to the reconciliation.
The Social Security Administration announced a raise. The 2027 cost-of-living adjustment is 3.6 percent, up from 2.8 percent last year, about $75 a month on the average retirement benefit, for the nearly 72 million people it covers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also reported Wednesday that prices rose 3.7 percent over the year in September, up from 3.4 percent in August, the highest rate since spring.
Those two figures are not a coincidence and they are not two reports. They are one measurement entered twice: once as the problem, once as the remedy. The Washington Examiner, counting from the day the President entered office, puts prices up 5.4 percent. CBS reports 90 percent of Americans say prices are the main factor shaping how they see the economy. Some recipients, the New York Post notes, are complaining the raise does not offset the prices. Their complaint is a subtraction problem and it checks out.
So: a program called accounting fraud by an executive, floated for the stock market by the President, named as a cut target on tape. Its accounting this week was exact to a tenth of a point, hon, in the one direction.
🍺
“They hand you a raise cut from the same cloth as the price hike and expect you to thank them for the scraps — 3.7 going out, 3.6 coming back, and the difference is your groceries. Same month the President says out loud he wanted your retirement in the stock market and the Texas nominee tells donors behind closed doors he'd go after "mandatory spending," which is a polite way of saying your check. They say there's no money for seniors while they're measuring exactly how much of it to keep.”
“Look, 3.6 percent is a raise, that's more money, that's math — I don't know why we're litigating math. The nominee said "reasonable cuts," reasonable, that's the operative word there, and a private meeting is private, which is, did I say that? That doesn't sound like me. And the President's stock market comment was about growth, about making it bigger, you'd have more, and anyway inflation is 3.7, which is basically 3.6, so nobody lost anything, functionally.”
Social Security benefits will increase by 3.6 percent in 2027, the Trump administration announced Wednesday. With the latest cost of living adjustment (COLA), Social Security retirement benefits will increase by $75 per month on average, according to the Social Security Administration (SSA). Last year’s COLA was 2.8 percent.
Final inflation report before voters go to polls comes amid widespread anger over cost of living under Trump Send us your questions on how the US economy is shaping the midterm elections Republicans are entering the midterm elections with the highest rate of inflation since the spring, according to a government report released on…
Just weeks before the midterm elections, 90% of Americans say prices in the U.S. are the main factor shaping their view of the economy. These charts show why.
Ken Paxton, the Republican Party’s nominee for the US Senate in Texas , expressed a willingness to cut programs such as Social Security in a leaked recording published by The Texas Tribune on Thursday. In the recording, which was made during a private meeting with donors and lobbyists last month, Paxton said he'd target "mandatory…
The Social Security Administration projected Wednesday that the annual cost-of-living adjustment for older adults and people with disabilities will go up by 3.6% beginning in 2027, with some recipients complaining that is not enough to offset soaring prices.
Prices are up 5.4% overall since President Donald Trump entered office, according to the final inflation report before the midterm elections. The September consumer price index report showed that prices rose 3.7% on an annual basis. With that increase, prices for staples like groceries and gas, as well as for electricity and shelter, are…
This page is a back-issue: the story as it ran, receipts as they were. The current edition is at the front. The byline is a pen name for a column drafted by a machine and checked by the editor: how this is made.