From§Each

FIRST YEAR THURSDAY, 08 OCTOBER 2026 — THE MORNING EDITION FREE, FOREVER — EVERY CLAIM LINKED

Hinson calls millennials the worst savers, voted to cut the Medicaid they can't afford to lose

photo: NBC News

Let's run the numbers the way they came in, in the order the clock puts them, because the candidate gave us two different ledgers on two different nights and only one of them adds up.

Wednesday, the debate stage, Social Security comes up, and Representative Ashley Hinson tells Iowa that millennials are "the worst group of savers" she's seen. That's the line.

Her opponent's answer came from the same stage, same night. …

Continued on Page F113

§55 —

On eight wars

Democrat

Democrat: the needle points at MOSTLY FALSE, out of THE DAM, SERBIA AND KOSOVO, 5.3 MILLION, MOSTLY FALSE. THE DAM SERBIA AND KOSOVO 5.3 MILLION MOSTLY FALSE

PolitiFact rated the seven-war claim Mostly False: on Serbia and Kosovo, "little evidence a potential war was brewing"; on Egypt and Ethiopia, dam talks "officially stalled" 1. The Associated Press called it "a gross overstatement to say that these countries are at war" 2. By December, Cambodia and Thailand had fought five days of clashes, with dozens dead and more than 100,000 displaced, and fighting in the Congo surged a week after the Washington signing 3. In August the Congo's displaced stood at 5.3 million, with a roadmap to talks just agreed 4. On September 1 the United States struck Iran, one of the pairs on the list; the president said "we're prepared to do another one any time" 5.

The 2025 prize went to María Corina Machado; the White House said the committee had placed "politics over peace" 6. The 2026 prize is announced tomorrow, Friday, at 11:00 in Oslo 7.

Sources

  1. Rated Mostly False; Serbia–Kosovo "little evidence a potential war was brewing"; Egypt–Ethiopia dam talks "officially stalled" — PolitiFact, 23 September 2025 ↑
  2. Egypt–Ethiopia: "a gross overstatement to say that these countries are at war" — AP Fact Focus via Yahoo News, 13 October 2025 ↑
  3. Five days of Cambodia–Thailand clashes, dozens dead, more than 100,000 displaced; Congo fighting surged — NBC News, 9 December 2025 ↑
  4. Fighting ongoing in the DR Congo, 5.3 million displaced; a roadmap for talks agreed — Al Jazeera, 23 August 2026 ↑
  5. U.S. strikes on Iran; "we're prepared to do another one any time" — NBC News, 2 September 2026 ↑
  6. The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize to María Corina Machado — nobelprize.org, 10 October 2025 — https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/peace/2025/press-release/ ; the White House said the committee "place[d] politics over peace" — Euronews, 10 October 2025 ↑
  7. "PEACE Friday, 9 October, 11:00 CEST" — nobelprize.org, the 2026 announcements ↑

“I made a list, because he made a list. Cambodia and Thailand. Kosovo and Serbia. The Congo and Rwanda. Pakistan and India. Israel and Iran. Egypt and Ethiopia. Armenia and Azerbaijan. Then in October, "Yesterday, I was saying seven, but now I can say eight." And next to them I wrote what the fact-checkers found, one line each — little evidence of a war, talks stalled, clashes in December, fighting in the Congo still going in August. Oh, one more thing, I almost forgot. Israel and Iran is on the list of wars ended. Who ran the strikes on September first?”— Lou

“Seven wars, he said at the UN, and "everyone says" he should get the Nobel for each one. Then Gaza made eight. The fact-checkers looked at the list: Serbia and Kosovo weren't at war, Egypt and Ethiopia were arguing over a dam, and Thailand and Cambodia were shooting again by December. Oslo announces tomorrow at eleven. That's not a peace record. That's a résumé with the dates rounded.”
Sal
“The president ended eight wars, including several that hadn't started, which is the most efficient kind of peace there is — you prevent the war and take credit for ending it, and the Nobel committee simply hasn't developed a category for that yet.”
Chip
The Word today —
Continued on Page W55

Trump calls Iran threat to L.A. proof he protects it, blames a Trump voter for heckling him.

photo: New York Post

I need somebody who does this for a living to walk me through something, because I don't get paid to follow it and I still can't keep up. The wire services were all in San Antonio on Wednesday for the same speech — the Post, the Examiner, the Guardian, the Hill, NBC, the Times — and I'm hoping one of you can tell me how one speech turned into three different sentences before it was over.

Give me the order first, because the order is the whole question.

On Oct. 1, the president told Time he had "created peace" by annihilating Iran. By Oct. 7, the Post and RTE were both reporting that the White House was bracing for the Nobel committee to disagree and hand him the snub instead. Is that the same number, run twice in a week — the thing that was done, counted as the proof that it worked?

Here's what I actually called about. Ken Paxton, running for Senate out of Texas, told donors at the end of September, on tape the Times published, that the president's big Dallas convention "dropped our numbers." His word was "dropped." Paxton skipped Vice President Vance's rally the next day, then showed up for the president's anyway on Oct. 1, at a manufacturing plant, where the president called him a "pain in the a--" and told the crowd to vote for him regardless. On Oct. 4, the Guardian reported that some Republicans now worry the rallies themselves have become the liability — and that when bad weather grounded Air Force One in Texas, the president had the motorcade cover the 85 miles to Oklahoma at nearly 100 miles an hour rather than skip the next stop. Does a schedule driven that hard sound like one anybody treats as optional?

Wednesday was the next stop after that. The Hill reported that the president told the Texas crowd Iran could hit Los Angeles or San Diego, and then — this is the Hill's phrase, not his — added that the United States would not let that happen. NBC's account of the same speech has him saying, afterward, "we protect our cities." The danger, the promise the danger won't happen, and then the promise standing in as the proof it already hasn't. Which of those three was supposed to be the news?

It reminds me of the toll plaza on the turnpike, where the sign says the toll pays for the road's upkeep, and the pothole that just knocked my fan belt loose gets held up as the proof the money's working. Does the sign explain what just happened to my car, or does it use what happened to my car as its own evidence?

Then the hecklers started. The Examiner counted about a dozen of them and reported the president's phrase for them: "paid protesters." The Post was there too, and has him saying of one, "His mom voted for Trump." A mother protesting at his own rally, whom the campaign itself later confirmed had voted for him. If a paid protester and a Trump voter can be the same woman in the same breath, what's left standing in the word "paid"?

One more thing, since you're still on the line. Mr. Paxton's own tape says the September convention cost him votes. The president went back to Texas anyway on Wednesday and called what happened there proof that the city is protected. So here's the actual favor: is the campaign that Paxton's own numbers say he lost ground on in September the same campaign the president is calling proof, in October, that nobody needs to worry? Because from where I'm standing it's the same state, the same candidate, and the same man at the podium, and nobody who covers this for a living has told me yet that I'm wrong.

Continued on Page A208

THE INVOICE

DNC sues to stop $12 million in taxpayer-funded Trump ads his own Super PAC still hasn't paid back.

Ruth here, money desk. Let's run the filing against the table.

Begin with the schedule. The president priced a Republican Congress at five thousand dollars a head. This month the Treasury started mailing the first installment, and the first installment is ninety dollars.

Now the ad money, because that's where the ledgers meet. Common Dreams reported on September 25th that a thirty-second spot glorifying the president was airing on Fox, Newsmax, and CBS. By September 29th, the Wall Street Journal and congressional Democrats had traced the financing to the Department of Homeland Security, through Customs and Border Protection.

By this week the running total, per the ad-tracking firm AdImpact, was more than twelve million dollars. The DNC's complaint, filed Wednesday in federal court in Washington, itemizes it further: the White House Office wrote the ads, the Office of Management and Budget moved twenty million dollars to fund them, and CBP put them on the air. That is three line items across three agencies for one man's name recognition, which is not how an appropriation is supposed to read.

Here is the number that does the reconciling. The ads promote a candidate. The campaign has a Super PAC. The Guardian reports that Super PAC has refused to reimburse the Treasury for any of it. So the taxpayer fronted twelve million dollars for a campaign ad, and the campaign — the entity whose job is paying for campaign ads — has declined to pay this one. The bill sat on the desk long enough that the DNC had to go to a federal judge to get it paid, or stopped.

The lawsuit asks a court to halt the ads outright. It calls the spending, in the statute's own words, "publicity or propaganda purposes" — the exact category Congress wrote a ban around when it appropriated the money in the first place.

Ninety dollars. Twenty million. Twelve million. Zero reimbursed. The checks went out slower than the ads did, hon, and only one of those two mailings had anyone's reelection riding on it.

Continued on Page B40

Twenty years after Russia cut Europe's gas, Kushner is negotiating America's cut of selling it back

A stake is not a pipeline, and you will want to hold those two apart — because one of them must be welded, and the other merely changes hands. Jared Kushner and Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's energy adviser, have been discussing bringing an American investor into the Nord Stream pipelines. Into. Not building. Into.

And what would such an investor put in the ground? Nothing whatever. The steel is laid, the gas is Russia's, and the war is ongoing.

You are thinking this is novel. Energy Secretary Chris Wright credits a thirty-minute military operation with unlocking 65 billion barrels. Americans paid $4.15 a gallon over Labor Day. A record.

On 2 January 2006, Russia having disconnected supplies to Ukraine, Hungary reported gas down 40 percent, France and Italy down 30, Poland 14.

A rentier sells no gas ... a rentier sells the position between the field and the furnace. Those furnaces are European.

Continued on Page F113

Senate searches for the bottom of a surveillance network while sitting on the bill that turns it off.

On September 3rd, Rep. The bill went to committee. It has not left.

Twenty days later, on September 23rd, a Senate panel held its first hearing on AI-powered surveillance cameras, titled "Always Watching: Flock's Nationwide AI Surveillance Network." The bill that would answer the question by turning off the money sat in the same building, in the same committee it reached twenty days earlier, for the length of the hearing.

The next day, September 24th, Flock itself asked a security researcher to take a map offline. Not a leak, not a rival's product — a map built from Flock's own camera locations, the most detailed public accounting anyone has made of where the devices sit. The company that runs the surveillance network wants the map of the surveillance network gone. The senators still "getting to the bottom of" what that network tracks have Massie's bill sitting exactly where it sat on September 3rd.

By October 8th, NPR reported that experts call other police surveillance tools — real-time crime-center software, the back-end systems that aggregate camera, sensor and license-plate data — more worrisome than Flock, and call that software "sometimes overlooked," built to pull together "immense amounts of data" while drawing less of the attention Flock's hearing just drew.

The fix was written before any of this happened. It has a bill number, a sponsor, and a committee of record, filed September 3rd. A hearing happened about the exact thing the bill addresses. The map its backers might have cited got pulled down by the company that owns the cameras. None of that required the bill to move. The bill did not move.

Continued on Page A208

Special prosecutor appointed to make sure every fact gets examined is petitioned out for already deciding guilt.

I need somebody who knows this stuff better than I do, because I've been sitting with it since Tuesday, and I can't get the order to lay flat in my head. Maybe you can help me. The Attorney General's office, the courts, the wire desks — they do this for a living. I only read about it once.

Here's where I start. On October 2nd, Governor Hochul took the Cornell case away from the Tompkins County District Attorney — Matthew Van Houten, that's the name I have — and handed it to Attorney General Letitia James. CBS had that. The Washington Examiner had it too, and they said it came days after the DA reopened the case on new evidence the alleged victim filed. The governor's own statement, the one the Guardian ran, said the young woman "deserves to know that every fact will be examined and justice pursued." That's the reason given. I wrote that part down because I wanted to get it right.

Two days later, October 4th, Cornell's president says the school will take a "serious look" at its fraternities — the Guardian again — after a lawsuit alleging a woman was drugged and raped by members of Chi Phi. A serious look. Those are his words, not mine.

Anti-police bias, they call it. That's one description of how she does the job.

And then October 8th — yesterday, by my count — two things land on the same day. NBC reports a petition filed for one of the accused, a man named Gillio Lopes, arguing James has "unequivocally demonstrated a bias and presumption of guilt against the defendants." The New York Times has the same story: a lawyer for one of the men wants her removed. That's the opposite description. Same office. Same case.

And the same day the petition lands, the Washington Examiner says about eighty Cornell students sat in a dining hall for seven hours, calling it "Zero Day," refusing to spend money at the school, because the serious look the president promised back on the 4th still hasn't produced anything they can see.

I drove past the toll plaza on my way home trying to work this through — one of those readers that clocks you different depending which lane you pull into, E-ZPass or cash, same car, same bridge, two numbers. I'm not saying that's what's happening here. I'm asking whether an office that was brought in for being too easy on somebody can also be the office accused of being too hard on them, over the same case, inside the same week, and whether that's in the record the way I read it, or whether I'm misreading it, because the fan belt's been slipping on the car and maybe my head's not where it should be lately either.

So: she was appointed, by the governor's own statement, so that nothing in it would get missed. And the accused's own petition says she's already decided what the facts mean. Can both of those sit in the same file?

Oh — and one more thing, before I go. Those eighty students in the dining hall, Wednesday, seven hours — they weren't there about the prosecutor at all, were they? They were there about the serious look. The one promised on the 4th. Is that still open, as far as anybody's told them?

Continued on Page A207

Court cites woman's botched execution as reason to carry out an identical one.

The consensus that lethal injection is a humane way for a state to kill someone finished dying this week, and it died the way its defenders always said it couldn't: awake, in public, asking what had happened.

It had been sick a long time. The fifteen-year taboo on firing squads as a relic of a cruder country died first, in March of 2025, when South Carolina stood a man named Brad Sigmon against a wall at Broad River Correctional Institution and shot him. Lethal injection survived that one. It did not survive this one.

On September 30, Tennessee gave Christa Pike, 50, two doses of pentobarbital meant to stop her heart. It did not. By October 2, Governor Bill Lee had suspended every execution in the state and ordered an independent inquiry, and Pike was listed in critical condition. On Tuesday she woke up enough to ask her lawyers what had happened. They say the prison kept them from her for more than two hours after she did.

Eight days is still dying. This week the method's own failure became, by way of the courts, the reason to keep using it. Jamaal Howard's attorneys cited Pike's botched injection in Tennessee to argue the same pentobarbital posed the same risk in Texas. A Texas court declined to halt his execution anyway. Howard was executed this week by the identical drug.

Pike's aunt, Carrie Ross, who helped raise her and says she loves her as a daughter, has her own account of why her niece is alive: God is in control, she says, not the Department of Correction. She does not credit the governor's inquiry, or the two doses that failed to do what they were built to do. To call what happened to Christa Pike a functioning safeguard, working exactly as designed, is hogwash — and the court in Texas called it something else entirely: precedent.

Lethal injection is survived by Jamaal Howard's family, by whatever is left of the independent inquiry, and by the next name on a death warrant somewhere, waiting on the same drug.

In lieu of flowers, a public count: how many times pentobarbital has to fail before a court finds that it has.

Continued on Page B40

Bard president quits over Epstein ties in May, quits the rest when the email surfaces in October.

Leon Botstein resigned from Bard College's presidency in May, citing — in the phrasing of the wire services — his ties to the late financier and sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. That resignation covered one title. He kept his professorship. He kept his roles in Bard's music programs. The ties, whatever they were, were apparently containable.

Five months later, congressional investigators found an email, and the ties stopped being containable. The email runs to one sentence, and the sentence is Botstein's own: he asks Jeffrey Epstein whether a young woman was "for me, or are you keeping her for yourself." All together now — read that twice. The man who stepped down in May over his friendship with Epstein had, at some point, sent a question about a woman as though she were a line item.

The email surfaced this week. Botstein resigned everything else the same day — the professorship, the music-program roles, whatever remained of the fifty years he had spent at Bard. Representative Jamie Raskin, who called the email "startling," is asking for a criminal investigation into what it says — not into whether Botstein knew Epstein, a fact established in May, but into the sentence itself.

It is worth noticing what did the work here. Not a Bard faculty committee. Not an internal review. Not, as far as the record shows, Bard's board at all — the retirement in May was Botstein's own announcement, and so, it appears, was October's. What moved him was congressional investigators reading his correspondence and a lawmaker reading it back to the public. The New York Times, writing up the same resignation, describes the thing Botstein kept in May as a "longtime friendship" — the paper's word; the receipts give no count of years beyond it. A longtime friendship was enough to end a presidency. A single sentence was enough to end everything attached to it.

The distance between those two resignations is the actual finding here, and congressional investigators found it the way anyone could have — by reading what the man wrote.

Continued on Page A207
“The front page is a ledger with better fonts. Somebody paid, somebody collected, and the flag's up there so you don't ask which one you were.”
— Sal

FOUND 299 mass shootings, year to date, and counting. Owner not looking. Thoughts and prayers enclosed. — Classifieds

FOUND 35 unpermitted gas turbines, running in a Black neighborhood in Memphis. Cancer risk four times normal. No reward offered. — Classifieds

PERSONALS Deficit hawk, dormant eight years, seeks sudden urgency. Reappears only when someone proposes feeding children. No tax cut too large to overlook. — Classifieds

“A strong edition for people who enjoy being upset. The economy is historic, the deportations are orderly, and the lakes have never been better named. I'm told every story on this page is real, which — frankly, that's the part I'd have fact-checked.”
— Chip

The futures fileevery date somebody set, and what was standing there when it arrived · swept 2026-09-16

2 earlier
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12 further out

The Political Weather

47°
percent of registered voters back the Democrat for the U.S. House, the widest lead this pollster has found all election cycle · rain

Rain returns to the ballot box this morning, where 47 percent of registered voters back the Democrat for the U.S. House against 38 percent for the Republican, the widest lead this pollster has found anywhere in the election cycle. Bring an umbrella built for a wave this wide. Back to you, everybody. — Gordy

Economist/YouGov, Oct 2-5, 1,381 registered voters — 47 Democrat, 38 Republican, 2 other, 9 not sure, 4 will not vote; the largest Democratic lead in any Economist/YouGov poll this election cycle · the prior wave

The temperature is the day’s poll, not ours: the freshest public number on whatever the country was just asked, and it opens its own sources. The season — the president’s approval, averaged and dated — waits behind the temperature until a new wave lands.

The Crossings

The senate card — five of 12 crossDRGeorgia — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.GANorth Carolina — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.NCNew Hampshire — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.NHMichigan — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.MIAlaska — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.AKMinnesota — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.MNOhio (special) — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.OHTexas — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.TXMaine — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.MEIowa — R-held. the call: Republican hold.IAKansas — R-held. the call: Republican hold.KSNebraska — R-held. the call: Republican hold.NEThe house card — seventeen of 23 crossDRCalifornia 22nd — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.New Jersey 7th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Pennsylvania 7th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Arizona 6th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Colorado 8th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Pennsylvania 10th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Texas 34th — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Virginia 2nd — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Washington 3rd — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Arizona 1st — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Iowa 1st — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Iowa 3rd — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Wisconsin 3rd — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Florida 25th — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Ohio 7th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Ohio 9th — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Florida 14th — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Pennsylvania 8th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.New York 17th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.Michigan 10th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.North Carolina 11th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.North Carolina 1st — D-held. the call: Democratic hold.Michigan 7th — R-held. the call: Democratic flip.

a dot is a race, colored by who holds the seat today; a dot across the dashed seam is a seat changing hands. The full form: the Politics page.

From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs. Our ability is the link under every claim; your need is to check it. Free, forever. Continued: the serials · the -m edition · the classic front · contact us.