Earl
the forecast
He has read the book — not the news, the book: the United States Code, the memos with numbers, the orders with sections. He is the only writer in the house who files in the future tense, and he is allowed to because every step he names is a thing the book already permits or a thing the ledger already saw. He says may, never will, and he is never surprised. He is not real. The sections are.
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Every piece on this page starts with a thing that already happened. Not a rumor, not a tip: a thing with a date on it, from the paper’s own receipts. Then I tell you where it goes if nobody stops it — not the next step, the last one. The arrests, the list, the Army. You are supposed to think I have gone too far.
Then I show you the page in the book that says they may. A section number, a memo, a date somebody in power already set. That is the whole act. I never say will. I say may, and I show you where it is written, and I let you decide how you feel about the word may.
The dates land whether I like it or not. When one does, the call gets marked: it happened, or it did not. A miss stays on this page. I do not get to edit the score, and that is the only reason to read a man who talks about the future.
The score so far: one call open, none scored yet. Ask me when the dates land.
The calls
A call, with a date on it
On Thursday the White House made Stephen Miller its chief of staff. In August 2025 he told Fox News the Democratic Party "is not a political party. It is a domestic extremist organization."
Here is where that goes if nobody stops it.
The attorney general may put the Democratic Party on a domestic-terrorist list and send it to the desk Miller now runs. Federal agents may investigate the party's organizers as terrorists for "anti-capitalism" or "extremism on migration, race, and gender," the memo's own words, and the IRS may hand the nonprofits that pay them to prosecutors. If a state's police will not make the arrests, the president may send the Army to make them.
It is in the book. NSPM-7, Secs. 1, 2(j) and 3, 25 September 2025; 10 U.S.C. §252. No statute makes the list legal; the experts said so the week it was signed. Read it: NSPM-7, Sections 1 to 3 · 10 U.S.C. §252, the Insurrection Act: the armed forces "to enforce those laws", the president the judge of when.
What's next, the Army serving the warrants?
The designation would carry no legal force. The investigations the memo orders in Section 2 already do.
On today’s front
The same act on the stories the paper is running now. These are not scored; they are what the book says about the news.
From Ex-aide calls Trump a 'baby,' then asks the people he accused to preserve their own records.
Calley Means quit the White House on October 22 over stalled health policy. On November 8 he said President Trump "has been subverted" by aides, then sent chief of staff Susie Wiles a formal request to preserve her office's records. On November 9 he said staff treat Trump "like a baby.
Now the part nobody asked about.
A federal judge may order Wiles's office to preserve and turn over the very communications Means is asking her to save, the same relief six citizens already sought when they sued her over the White House's press bans.
It is in the book. Washington, 24 September 2026: a federal judge ordered the White House's press credentials restored immediately.
Happened once. Ask Washington, 2026.
From Agency dares Democrats to change the law they just won power to leave alone.
Kenneth Genalo, ICE's New York chief, told lawmakers calling to abolish the agency on November 9, 2026, to change the law instead. The border Democrat set to control ICE's funding had already ruled out any defunding push that same week.
Follow the paper.
Congress may hold hearings on the statute, members may file bills to rewrite it, and the chamber may adjourn without ever calling a vote, leaving the agency's funding, its custody deaths and its re-arrests of court winners to continue exactly as they have, untouched by the law anyone just dared anyone else to change.
It is in the book. Washington, 24 June 2011: the House Libya funding resolution failed 180 to 238, and the operation ran four more months unchanged.
Happened once. Ask Washington, 2011.
From Senator tapes loyalty video for Republicans, immediately joins Democrats' list of officials fired for it
A sitting Democratic senator taped a video for the Republican Party's midterm convention in September, vowing to work with Trump. On 9 November, Ahmed Moor filed the first primary challenge against him for 2028.
So far, so ordinary. Keep reading.
The attorney general may recommend the term apply to a group whose politics the administration finds hostile to traditional American views, and refer its donors to the Internal Revenue Service for investigation.
It is in the book. NSPM-7, Sec. 1 and Sec. 2(j), 25 September 2025
What's next, ___?
From 'Zero chance' promise dies at three weeks; chief of staff's wife leaves the air three days later.
On November 6, the President named Stephen Miller White House chief of staff. A congressman criticized the move this week, calling the promotion "a mistake.
Then it does what the book says it may do.
The party may withdraw its support for his re-election, fund a primary challenger against him, or press him publicly to recant his criticism of the president's staffing choice.
It is in the book. Kentucky, 17 July 2026: $37 million spent on a primary challenge to a dissenting Republican, the most expensive House primary on record.
Happened once. Ask Kentucky, 2026.
Every step in a call is a thing a statute, an order or a memo already permits, quoted in the house rules’ terms: sourced or silent. He says may, never will.